Election Night 2012 — Part I
I’ll be reporting on the runoffs tonight. Dewhurst vs. Cruz is the most important race, of course, but there also are a number of runoffs for legislative seats. UPDATE: Aaron Pena just tweeted (per the Trib) Cruz 65%, Dewhurst 35% in Hidalgo Co. early returns. Cruz grabbed a 5-point lead early and has held it throughout. Early vote statewide:
Cruz 52.29%
Dewhurst 47.70%
HOPSON-CLARDY
Clardy swamped Hopson in the early vote coming out of Nacogdoches County:
Clardy 2,535
Hopson 487
However, Hopson won Cherokee County by more than a thousand votes. Hopson needs a big win in Rusk County to hold onto his seat. No returns yet from Rusk.
LANDTROOP-KING
S. MILLER-SHEFFIELD
LOZANO-WILSON
San Patricio County early vote has a big lead for Wilson (913-413)
VILLABLA-B. KEFFER
KLICK-SAPP
MCKNIGHT-SPRINGER
B. RATLIFF-NGUYEN
Nguyen led the primary, but Ratliff is believed to have narrowed the gap with mailers accusing Nguyen of lobbying for Obamacare.
WENTWORTH-CAMPBELL
The first thing to watch for in this race is the Bexar County early vote. If Wentworth is not well ahead–he needs to win Bexar by 58%–he’s in trouble. His only other good county in the district is Comal, and he needs at least to break even there. Guadalupe could give him a boost. Travis and Hays are problematic, at best.
UPDATE:
Wentworth is toast, done. Early vote in Bexar:
Campbell 64.76%
Wentworth 34.75%
Campbell won the early vote in every county.
COLE-LEACH
Cole ran and lost in 2011.
G. BONNEN-SITTON
I think Bonnen should win this. Just the early vote is in:
Bonnen: 57.0%
Sitton: 42.9%
R. Miller-Chaumette
Miller is a longtime political operative in Fort Bend County. This is one of those races between a politician and a civic leader that the civic leader is going to be hard-pressed to win.
Anon. says:
Any thoughts on the Devine-Medina Supreme Court race?
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anita says:
What about Medina/Devine?
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Anon. says:
AP calls the Senate race for Cruz.
http://www.statesman.com/blogs/content/shared-gen/blogs/austin/election/entries/2012/07/31/cruz_holds_the_lead_in_us_sena.html
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anita says:
I hope the Dew will spend the rest of his career in public service doing the right thing for Texas — no longer deferring to the R mullahs who left him for the untested, new candidate on the scene.
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anita says:
AP has now called it for Cruz.
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centexliberal says:
Sid Miller is losing big time…and so is Riddle
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MCC says:
SD114
Villalba 54.3%
Keffer 45.7%
SD115
Ratliff 53.75%
Nguyen 46.25%
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Anonymous Reply:
July 31st, 2012 at 9:47 pm
The establishment still controls North Dallas County Republican politics. Villalba/Kent will be interesting race in November. Villalba has the edge right now in a lean GOP seat.
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Spiro Eagleton says:
What happened to the “lion’s share” of votes Wentworth was supposed to be receiving from higher voter turnout in Bexar?
Can we now stop saying Mike Baselice is such a great pollster? He said internals had Dewhurst up by at least 6 the other day. WHAT HAPPENED? Good job Carney and crew!
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Be careful says:
All you perry haters? Be careful. When you go head-to-head against his people, you will be accused of being responsible for someone’s death. It could be a cop, a drug enforcement officer, or a kid committing suicide, but that was the recipe.
In fact, it is a shame he got out of the presidential race so quickly. I really wanted to know who Romney and Santorum killed.
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