More Numbers: R's lose, but D's can't gain
Thu August 14, 2008 11:27 am

These numbers represent the electorate’s favorable/unfavorable view of the political parties. As with the previous post, these come from a Republican shop.

Rural Texas:
2000: Republicans 59% favorable, 26% unfavorable
2008: Republicans 56% favorable, 34% unfavorable

The erosion is negligible.

Urban-Suburban Texas:
2000: Republicans 62% favorable, 27% unfavorable
2008: Republicans 47% favorable, 42% unfavorable

This is a drop of fifteen points.

2000: Democrats 49% favorable, 39% unfavorable
2008: Democrats 47% favorable, 43% unfavorable

Democrats have actually lost ground. The big question that the pundits keep asking is why Obama can’t close the deal. (Hey, it’s August. Voters don’t really pay attention until after the conventions.) But the problem may not be Obama at all. In Texas, at least, it appears that the Democrats are still not viewed as credible. And for a very good reason: They don’t have a recognizable name on the ballot. Rick Noriega isn’t it. The Republican brand has been decimated, but the Democrats have not benefited.

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