I’m referring to the recent poll by Wilson Perkins Allen that shows Romney leading Obama in Texas by 55-40. (McCain had similar numbers, 55-44.) With Democrats getting only 40% of the vote, what’s the surprise in these numbers? There is none. Obama is not providing enough coattails for Democratic legislative candidates to win seats.
I question whether the Democratic party has the resources to generate a get-out-the-vote effort that might perceptibly narrow the gap. The only interesting data point is that Romney is getting only 32% of the Hispanic vote. In the long run–and it may be very long indeed–Republicans cannot continue to win elections while getting less than a third of the Hispanic vote. But that won’t become apparent until the end of this decade.