Mon August 12, 2013 8:58 am By Paul Burka


Jennifer Rubin, the Washington Post's conservative blogger, published her advice on Friday for Governor Rick Perry, should he choose to enter the presidential race in 2016. Here's what Rubin had to say:

What does Perry need to do?

1. It’s fine to mock his “oops” moment at the debate in 2012, but his main goal should be in projecting a serious national image.

2. Remarkably, few Republicans are talking about energy; he’d do well to set out a specific energy policy and travel around the country promoting it.

3. Perry has time to prepare the detailed policy proposals that were missing in 2016. He has a higher bar to cross than some other candidates on policy ideas so he’d be wise to devote significant time to it while the national spotlight is elsewhere. On foreign policy, he should build on his sound instincts and show some finesse, in contrast to the immature isolationism of others on the right.

4. Make the case he was right about a lot of things in 2012 — a more flexible approach to immigration reform, an understanding of what a menace the Environmental Protection Agency has become, a state’s rights approach to gay marriage and the need for pro-business policies that are far more successful than President Obama’s.

5. Practice debating. It is not the whole ball of wax, but he’ll have to surprise people with greatly improved performances.

6. Get a top-flight campaign staff with national experience. In 2012 his team was not ready for prime time; he can’t afford that in 2016.

7. Be the adult candidate for the right-wing base. Understanding that tea partyers have suspicions about many of the top tier candidates and that characters like Sens. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) are hardly ready for prime time, Perry can aim to be the plausible candidate of the right.

8. Forget the gimmicks. Put aside ideas like a part-time Congress and repealing various Constitutional amendments. There is no need to defend every idea that popped into his head or made it into a book years ago.

9. Use his wife and family. These days candidates run as a team, and he should rely on his wife to soften his image.

10. His promotion of bans on late-term abortions is a plus in the primaries and even in the general election. He should be the effective pro-life candidate ready to propose doable measures that would focus on the last prong of Bill Clinton’s approach to abortion (“safe, legal and rare“).

* * * * *

I think the first point is where Perry has to start. He did not project a serious national image in 2012. He didn't spend enough time on debate preparation and it showed. He hadn't done his homework on issues. He still comes across as a swaggering Texan, which is not a popular image. He is going to learn how to act presidential. That was his greatest failing in 2012. He never came close.

Perry should pick out three areas and hit them hard. One is immigration reform. He understands it, and he runs very well -- around 40% -- with Hispanics in Texas. Another is the environment. Texas has repeatedly sued the Environmental Protection Agency, with some success. There is a big national constituency for taking on the EPA. The third is "bidness." Perry understands what the needs of the economy are: water, power, and transportation.
 
The biggest problem Perry has is a lack of gravitas. He did not fulfill Rubin's step #1, to project a serious national image. Many of his ideas lag behind the times. Gay marriage is an example. It's hard to imagine Perry supporting gay marriage in Texas, but he is going to find himself isolated if he doesn't keep up with the changes that are occurring in America. That said, I don't really think Perry has much of a chance to be elected president. People aren't going to forget about "oops!" But the competition may not be ready for prime-time either. 

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Thu August 8, 2013 11:05 am By Paul Burka

The uncivil war inside the Texas Republican party may be about to break wide open. Elements of the Tea Party are encouraging Tyler congressman Louie Gohmert to challenge U.S. senator John Cornyn in the Republican primary. As minority whip, Cornyn is the second-highest ranking Republican in Congress. His defeat, though unlikely, would be a major setback for the influence of the state of Texas.

The 2014 Republican primary season could evolve into internecine warfare of Republicans vs. Republicans, marking a return to the 2005-2006 era of "RINO" hunts. There are elements of the Republican caucus in the House of Representatives that already targeting members; said to be among the targets are J.D. Sheffield and Bennett Ratliff (boasts like, "We're going to bring your boy Ratliff down" are being thrown around). Joe Straus will likely have to face a rematch with his previous primary opponent as well.

AP Photo | Carolyn Kaster

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Wed August 7, 2013 10:39 am By Paul Burka

So the Legislature coughed up $1.2 billion from the Rainy Day Fund to build roads. Wait, let me rephrase that: the Legislature will let voters decide in fifteen months if they want to cough up $1.2 billion from the Rainy Day Fund to build roads. I see little to celebrate in this drop-in-the-ocean outcome. The Legislature is locked into a mind-set in which it is impossible even to consider a long-term solution for addressing our transportation needs (more or less the same thing happened with water, which voters will decide on in three months).

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Tue August 6, 2013 11:09 am By Paul Burka


The third and final special session of the 83rd Legislature is over, and the result is an opportunity for voters to approve $1.2 billion in additional funding for roads in November 2014. Taken together, the special sessions established that Rick Perry remains unchallenged as the dominant figure in Texas politics. Forget all that talk about his being a lame duck. He was completely in charge, to the very end, when he declined to add tuition revenue bonds to the call, much to the dismay of the higher education establishment. Nor did he grant Dan Patrick's wish list of conservative issues.

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Sun August 4, 2013 4:35 pm By Paul Burka

I made this point in an earlier post, but I think it warrants re-stating. Do not count Susan Combs out of the comptroller's race. She has $6.9 million in her campaign account, and the field for comptroller is not the strongest. State representative Harvey Hilderbran and state senator Glenn Hegar have shown interest. Former gubernatorial candidate Debra Medina is a possibility, as is railroad commissioner Christi Craddick. Combs has been quite active recently in sending out reports of what she is doing. We have received them at TEXAS MONTHLY. Here is the most recent:

* * * *

I’ve got two pieces of good news! 

First, I met with all of the major rating agencies this week to evaluate how Texas is doing. We expect very high ratings and really low borrowing rates for Texas because we manage our money well. It’s great news, and we have achieved these results because we’ve recognized a simple truth: managing a government budget is much like what you do with your own household budget. If only Washington would figure that one out! 

Second, Americans have started to recognize the importance of transparency. People are questioning how a city like Detroit could go bankrupt without anyone knowing, and they’re looking for answers. That’s why I spent two days in New York City talking to national media about why Texas has made it through the recession stronger than virtually every other state. That's also why we hope other states across the country will follow the Texas model. 

On Thursday, I visited the FOX Business newsroom and talked with Lauren Simonetti about our local fiscal issues. We discussed how the new pension legislation will help keep Texans informed on public pension funding around the state. Later that afternoon, I went on Wilkow! to talk about what makes Texas great – it's my favorite topic.

Make of it what you will, but she sure sounds like a candidate to me. Combs' current term does not expire until 2015. It would not surprise me at all if she were to drop into the race for comptroller. She has the money, she has the name I.D., and she may have decided that she has rehabilitated herself sufficiently to make a run for it, notwithstanding the data breach disaster. She is certainly not hiding her light under a bushel basket. For a lame duck comptroller, she's mighty active.

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