Rasmussen moves Tx Governor’s race from “solid Republican” to “leans Republican”

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The new poll out today has Perry leading White by six points, 48% to 42%. The previous poll had Perry ahead by 49% to 41%. The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Texas was conducted on September 22, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Favorable/Unfavorable White 42% Favorable, 47% Unfavorable Perry 52% Favorable, 44% Unfavorable Perry Job Approval: Approve 52% Disapprove 48% The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Texas was conducted on September 22, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. The movement in White’s direction is slight. But it occurs just 24 days before the start of early voting — not a propitious moment for the frontrunner’s lead to be shrinking. I’m surprised by White’s high negatives; they suggest that his own media messages have hurt him, as well as Perry’s. The other thing that surprises me about this poll is the very small percentage of undecided voters (6%) and voters who favor “other” (presumably the Libertarian candidate). Perhaps Perry is such a polarizing figure that 91% of the voters have already made up their minds at this point, but I doubt it.

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