The University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll results today are not surprising. They show Greg Abbott with a hefty 47-36 lead over Wendy Davis in the race for governor, with 17 percent undecided. That lead is to be expected; of more concern for the Davis campaign should be their inability to develop a coherent message. They don’t have one, except to react to Greg Abbott. Fortunately for the Davis campaign, Abbott has made some brutal unforced errors.
Also, to no one’s surprise, the race for lieutenant governor is very close:
Dewhurst: 38 percent
Patrick: 31 percent
Staples: 16 percent
Patterson: 14 percent
For my point of view, I feel that Patrick has the momentum in this race.
In the attorney general’s race, Dan Branch held a solid lead in this race, or did, until Ken Paxton won an endorsement from Ted Cruz. Paxton has a very thin resume of accomplishment, but the Cruz endorsement has totally changed the dynamics—it’s now a statistical dead heat.
Branch: 42 percent
Paxton: 38 percent
Smitherman: 20 percent
What is particularly interesting is that in early polls 47 percent of respondents expressed no preference in this race.
It appears the comptroller’s race could produce a major surprise:
Medina: 39 percent
Hilderbran: 26 percent
Hegar: 24 percent
One aspect of the poll that was surprising: Ted Cruz’s favorable/unfavorable numbers were not very good:
29 percent very favorable
14 percent somewhat favorable
8 percent somewhat unfavorable
29 percent very unfavorable
In other words, I suppose, to no one’s surprise, Cruz remains a controversial figure.