At least it's better than the Rasmussen poll. The numbers:
Someone else 7%
If you were trying to put a good face on the results for White, you would say (1) Perry is under 50%; (2) 22%, more than 1 voter in 5, are unsatisfied with their choices; (3) at least it's better than the Rasmussen poll.
Anglo voters: Perry 55%, White 25%
African-American voters: White 69%, Perry 5%
Hispanic voters: White 43%, Perry32%
Male voters: Perry 48%, White 34%
Female voters: Perry 40%, White 35%
Obama approval rating:
This observation by UT government professor and pollster Daron Shaw pretty much sums up the state of the race: "Anecdotally, off the top of your head, if a Democrat runs against a Republican in the state of Texas, what’s the spread? Twelve points. This looks pretty much like a statewide election in Texas looks. It doesn't look like some huge Republican tide, but it doesn't look like a Democratic renaissance, either."
Twelve points! That is a huge spread. Mike Baselice has generally put the Republican advantage at 9, which is what the poll reflects. The Democrats are in for some dark days.
- 1 week