UT/Tribune Poll: Perry +9
Mon May 24, 2010 12:53 am

At least it’s better than the Rasmussen poll. The numbers:

Perry 44%
White 35%
Undecided 15%
Someone else 7%

If you were trying to put a good face on the results for White, you would say (1) Perry is under 50%; (2) 22%, more than 1 voter in 5, are unsatisfied with their choices; (3) at least it’s better than the Rasmussen poll.

More numbers:
Anglo voters: Perry 55%, White 25%
African-American voters: White 69%, Perry 5%
Hispanic voters: White 43%, Perry32%
Male voters: Perry 48%, White 34%
Female voters: Perry 40%, White 35%

Obama approval rating:
Approve 35%
Disapprove 58%

This observation by UT government professor and pollster Daron Shaw pretty much sums up the state of the race: “Anecdotally, off the top of your head, if a Democrat runs against a Republican in the state of Texas, what’s the spread? Twelve points. This looks pretty much like a statewide election in Texas looks. It doesn’t look like some huge Republican tide, but it doesn’t look like a Democratic renaissance, either.”

Twelve points! That is a huge spread. Mike Baselice has generally put the Republican advantage at 9, which is what the poll reflects. The Democrats are in for some dark days.

More Texas Monthly

Loading, please wait...

Most Read

  • Viewed
  • Past:
  • 1 week