At least it’s better than the Rasmussen poll. The numbers: Perry 44% White 35% Undecided 15% Someone else 7% If you were trying to put a good face on the results for White, you would say (1) Perry is under 50%; (2) 22%, more than 1 voter in 5, are unsatisfied with their choices; (3) at least it’s better than the Rasmussen poll. More numbers: Anglo voters: Perry 55%, White 25% African-American voters: White 69%, Perry 5% Hispanic voters: White 43%, Perry32% Male voters: Perry 48%, White 34% Female voters: Perry 40%, White 35% Obama approval rating: Approve 35% Disapprove 58% This observation by UT government professor and pollster Daron Shaw pretty much sums up the state of the race: “Anecdotally, off the top of your head, if a Democrat runs against a Republican in the state of Texas, what’s the spread? Twelve points. This looks pretty much like a statewide election in Texas looks. It doesn’t look like some huge Republican tide, but it doesn’t look like a Democratic renaissance, either.” Twelve points! That is a huge spread. Mike Baselice has generally put the Republican advantage at 9, which is what the poll reflects. The Democrats are in for some dark days.
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