This was a 54-45 race after the early vote, with 2,994 for Fletcher and 2,505 for Van Arsdale, but Van Arsdale is winning election day voting by 999 to 772. Maybe there was a backlash against the ceaseless attacks on Van Arsdale, but whatever the reason is, Fletcher’s lead is down to 419 votes with just 6 of 37 precincts counted. Fletcher is odds-on to win it, but it’s not over yet.