Election Night 2012 — Part I
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I’ll be reporting on the runoffs tonight. Dewhurst vs. Cruz is the most important race, of course, but there also are a number of runoffs for legislative seats. UPDATE: Aaron Pena just tweeted (per the Trib) Cruz 65%, Dewhurst 35% in Hidalgo Co. early returns. Cruz grabbed a 5-point lead early and has held it throughout. Early vote statewide:
Clardy swamped Hopson in the early vote coming out of Nacogdoches County:
However, Hopson won Cherokee County by more than a thousand votes. Hopson needs a big win in Rusk County to hold onto his seat. No returns yet from Rusk.
San Patricio County early vote has a big lead for Wilson (913-413)
Nguyen led the primary, but Ratliff is believed to have narrowed the gap with mailers accusing Nguyen of lobbying for Obamacare.
The first thing to watch for in this race is the Bexar County early vote. If Wentworth is not well ahead–he needs to win Bexar by 58%–he’s in trouble. His only other good county in the district is Comal, and he needs at least to break even there. Guadalupe could give him a boost. Travis and Hays are problematic, at best.
Wentworth is toast, done. Early vote in Bexar:
Campbell won the early vote in every county.
Cole ran and lost in 2011.
I think Bonnen should win this. Just the early vote is in:
Miller is a longtime political operative in Fort Bend County. This is one of those races between a politician and a civic leader that the civic leader is going to be hard-pressed to win.