Politics & Policy |
January 26, 2012

The Texas newspapers’ poll

The results are hardly surprising. In a recent post, I raised the question of whether Perry could be reelected. I didn’t think so then, and I don’t think so now. And the talk from Ray Sullivan and the Perry team that he could run for president in 2016

Politics & Policy |
September 17, 2011

Recent polls

New York Times/CBS News (most recent poll) Perry 23 Romney 16 Connecticut GOP primary Quinnipiac U. Romney 37 Perry 19 California GOP Primary Field Poll Romney 28 Perry 20 Virginia General Election Obama 44 Perry 42 Virginia GOP Primary Perry 25 Undecided 20 R0mney 19 President Public Policy Polling Obama

Politics & Policy |
August 17, 2011

Rasmussen: Perry 29, Romney 18, Bachmann 13

A phenomenal showing by Perry, who has done nothing more than announce his candidacy and press the flesh in three venues. The impending battle for Tea Party support between Perry and Bachmann may already be over. Romney has been running for four years and is hardly any better off than

Politics & Policy |
August 9, 2011

Time: Perry breaks the “rules”

The gist of the piece is that Perry ignored what presidential candidates are supposed to do — participate in the Iowa straw poll, for example — and stiffed Iowa (not to mention his home state press) by planning to announce his candidacy in South Carolina on the

Politics & Policy |
July 11, 2011

Bachmann overtakes Romney in Iowa

When I got to my computer this morning, I didn’t expect to be posting about two presidential polls today. The first one, already posted, was about New Hampshire. This one is about Iowa. Here is the basic information about the poll: Voter/Consumer Research conducted the poll by telephone interviews

Politics & Policy |
May 23, 2010

UT/Tribune Poll: Perry +9

At least it’s better than the Rasmussen poll. The numbers: Perry 44% White 35% Undecided 15% Someone else 7% If you were trying to put a good face on the results for White, you would say (1) Perry is under 50%; (2) 22%, more than 1 voter in 5, are

Politics & Policy |
July 9, 2009

UT Poll: Perry 36, Hutchison 24

Perry’s twelve-point lead is the same as his advantage in last month’s Texas Lyceum poll, which was conducted by the same pollsters — Perry 33, Hutchison 21. Both that poll and this one showed that a large number of voters were undecided or preferred someone else. The Democratic primary results,

Politics & Policy |
March 23, 2009

The UT Internet Poll (again)

This is my response to the post, below, of the government professors who operate the UT Poll. I have no desire to get into a verbal wrestling match with Professors Henson and Shaw. I have spoken to both of them, in person and by telephone, and I respect their work

Politics & Policy |
March 21, 2009

Perry camp touts UT poll results to national GOP activists, media–but is the methodology accurate?

The following e-mail went out to Republican activists, consultants, and Washington media types over the name of Perry campaign guru Dave Carney. Among the recipients were consultant Arthur Finkelstein, representatives of the Club for Growth, Washington Post columnist Chris Cizzilla, and prominent Patton Boggs attorney Benjamin Ginsberg, who represented the

Politics & Policy |
February 2, 2009

The Gallup Poll: Is Texas Blue?

The Gallup organization released a nationwide poll last week showing the partisan preference in every state. The daily tracking poll, conducted during the election campaign, sampled 19,415 adult Texans concerning their self-identification by political party and found that 43.4% identified themselves as Democrats compared to 41.0% who identified

Being Texan |
February 1, 1997

By the Numbers

STEPHEN KLINEBERG IS A MAN WHO REVELS IN STATISTICS, finding a pleasure in them so intense it borders on the sensual. We sat at a small round table in his breakfast room as he led me through the arrays of numbers that he has worked each of the last fifteen