Gallup describes the Democrats’ 49%-43% edge as “the first statistically significant lead” since Gallup began polling the question in March. Gallup further says that the reason for the Democrats’ resurgence is a shift in independent voters. 39% favor D’s, up from 34%, but still less than 43% of I’s who favor R’s. More significant, in my opinion, is that Republican enthusiasm level jumped from 40% to 51%, the highest mark since April. Democratic enthusiasm level remains at a lethargic 28%. The big question on everybody’s minds is whether 2010 will be 1994 redux. The latest Rothenberg Report (a widely read Washington political newsletter) says: We reiterate our view that substantial Republican gains are inevitable and are increasing our target for most likely GOP gains from 25-30 seats to 28-33 seats. However, it is important to note that considerably larger Republican gains in excess of 39 seats are quite possible.
Get All Our Stories in One Daily Email
It’s free. It’s daily. And it’s full of great reads, y’all.
- Share on Facebook
- Share on Twitter
- Email a link to this page