And what will he say? He will no doubt take credit for the flourishing economy and the things that contribute to it: low taxes, low spending, a favorable regulatory climate, and a judicial climate that is hostile to lawsuits. He will touch on his legislative priorities; in particular, the fetal pain abortion bill (later today he’s speaking at the Texas Alliance for Life rally). He will wax maudlin about old friends, as he did on the opening day of the session. He will warn against excessive spending and urge members to sign onto his budget compact and its spending limits. He will give the green light to infrastructure improvements, especially the water plan. I think he will get a good reception, and he deserves one. His career is unmatched in American state government politics. But he has stayed too long, and his brand has lost much of its value.