October 2011 – Page 3 of 3

Politics & Policy|
October 10, 2011

Bad news for Perry on eve of crucial debate

It’s a Washington Post-Bloomberg News poll, which I originally posted yesterday. The poll sampled 1,000 and had a separate sample of 391 Republican or Republican-leaning independents. I have picked out a couple of questions that piqued my interest. In my original post of this item, columns did not square up

Politics & Policy|
October 9, 2011

Could the GOP have a brokered convention?

The Republican field has been complete since Perry announced his candidacy.  He immediately zoomed to the top of the polls but he has slipped into mediocrity since then. Not only is there no clear leader at the present time, but it is not at all obvious who would benefit from

Politics & Policy|
October 7, 2011

The Carney theory

Why Perry will win, from a Perry insider, paraphrasing Perry’s consultant: Republicans haven’t nominated a presidential candidate from the northeast since Dewey in ’48.  (Nixon lived in New York and practiced law there but was always identified with California. Eisenhower wasn’t really associated with any particular part of the country,

Politics & Policy|
October 6, 2011

Perry camp: no economic plan

I’m not surprised. As I said last when the Daily Beast‘s Jill Lawrence wrote that  Perry needed an economic plan, there is no chance, zip, zero, zilch, none, that Perry would come out with a detailed plan. It’s not what they do. Perry is going to stick to the Carney

Politics & Policy|
October 5, 2011

Palin punts

She’s a media personality now. There was no way she could run for president when a majority of the Republican electorate doesn’t want her to.

Politics & Policy|
October 5, 2011

After the ranch comes … the license plate

Governor Perry faces another hurdle on the issue of race. It is whether the Department of Motor Vehicles should allow specialty license plates that carry the emblem of the Confederate battle flag. Senator Royce West went public with his concerns earlier today. West put out a statement that I will

Politics & Policy|
October 5, 2011

Ogden: State has $1.8 billion surplus

This is what he told me in a conversation we had earlier today. The reason is higher-than-expected sales tax receipts and a similar bonanza of oil and gas money for the Rainy Day Fund, above the comptroller’s estimate. Due to the increased revenue, Ogden said, there will be fewer layoffs

Politics & Policy|
October 5, 2011

Perry posts a big number

$17.1 million raised in the third quarter fundraising period. This is a very impressive performance. It buys time and staying power through the next rounds of debates and into the early primaries. The accelerated primary schedule benefits candidates with the most money. (The original version of this post said $18.1

Politics & Policy|
October 5, 2011

Willful ignorance: the GOP’s Hispanic problem

From Public Policy Polling: There’s been a lot of discussion in the last week about the role of the Hispanic vote in next year’s election.  Here’s the bottom line on our polling: Obama’s approval numbers with Hispanics are down. And because of that Obama’s winning margins with Hispanics would

Politics & Policy|
October 4, 2011

Poll shows Perry fading in Florida

The Republican War Room poll (Sept. 30), from the Houston Chronicle: Romney 28.2% Cain 23.7% Gingrich 9.8% Perry 9.1% Perry has dropped 15 points in ten days. Florida is arguably the most important state in the country in Republican politics. Texas has more delegates, but Texas is not in

Politics & Policy|
October 3, 2011

Washington Post poll finds more Perry slippage

The sample covers 1,002 adults and covers the dates of September 19-October 2. Repondents were divided into “lean-Republican” voters and “registered voters.” From the Post’s story: After a quick rise in the race for the Republican presidential nomination, Texas Gov. Rick Perry has experienced an almost equally dramatic decline,

Politics & Policy|
October 3, 2011

It’s now or never for Perry

The next Republican debate, presented by the Washington Post and Bloomberg News, will be held on October 11 at Dartmouth College in Hanover, New Hampshire. Charlie Rose will be the moderator. Here is the official statement by the sponsors: The Washington Post-Bloomberg debate will focus on the issues voters say

Politics & Policy|
October 3, 2011

Is Fox News getting less enamored with Perry?

A Perry supporter with ties to the campaign observes that Perry is not getting the enthusiastic treatment from Fox he has always enjoyed in the past. This could be a function of his struggling campaign, or of the confusion of the Republican primary race, but it could also be (the

Politics & Policy|
October 2, 2011

Yet another poll

This one from Zogby IBOPE, the latter initials refer to a Brazilian firm that has acquired the Zogby operation. This poll is described as “interactive” but what that means is not explained. The respondents are “all likely voters and likely Republican primary voters.” This gibberish is a good reason why

Politics & Policy|
October 2, 2011

Redstate defends Perry

Erick Erickson posted this on Redstate.com today: Hugh Hewitt has a good takedown of this. It shows the extent to which the Democrats will go to attack Republicans. Stephanie McCrummen, a Washington Post based reporter formerly stationed in Nairobi has a history of fanning racial flames out of context.

Politics & Policy|
October 2, 2011

The “N-word” Ranch

I am hesitant to opine on things I don't know much about, and so I am loathe to comment on the Washington Post story about what the Post describes as "his family's secluded West Texas hunting camp." The gist of the story, for those unfamiliar with the Post's version,"

Politics & Policy|
October 2, 2011

Political Obituaries

STEVE OGDEN He was the best senator of his time, the most visionary, the most respected. A perennial Ten Best legislator, he chaired Senate Finance throughout Dewhurst’s years as Lieutenant Governor. Most chairman do what just about every other chairman has done–add a few dollars to an agency’s budget here,

Politics & Policy|
October 1, 2011

Perry plummets in 9/29 Fox News poll

Many readers will be familiar with this poll since it has received a great deal of coverage. The poll was posted on September 29. The sample covers 925 registered voters, and there was a smaller subset of likely Republican voters. Romney 23% Perry 19% Cain 17% Gingrich 11% Bachmann 3%

Politics & Policy|
October 1, 2011

Perry running 3rd in Iowa

The poll was conducted by American Research Group (ARG) Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican caucus goers living in Iowa (517 Republicans and 83 no party (independent) voters). Sample Dates: September 22-27, 2011 Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the

Politics & Policy|
October 1, 2011

Asking giraffes to fly

Writing in the Daily Beast earlier this week, Jill Lawrence said that the "missing piece" in Rick Perry's presidential campaign was his blueprint for America. Her recommendation was that Perry should make up for his poor debate performances by coming out with a plan: "Rick Perry would be less

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